When Banks Wait: Strategic Delay in Distressed Loan ResolutionDraft Coming Soon
Job Market Paper
Why do banks delay resolving distressed loans, even when they
are well capitalized? I study this question in the U.S.
commercial real estate market following the pandemic. I develop
a dynamic model in which resolving distressed loans generates
public information about collateral values. Banks have an
incentive to wait for information from other banks’
resolutions, but realized peer resolutions encourage subsequent
resolution by reducing valuation uncertainty. Using loan-level
data constructed from land records, I find that more early peer
resolutions are associated with a lower probability of
subsequent loan extension. Consistent with the information
mechanism, this relationship is stronger when transaction prices
are publicly disclosed. These findings identify an informational
channel through which banks’ resolution decisions
interact: waiting for others to generate information slows
information production and can prolong both distress and
valuation uncertainty.
Presented at: 2026 Blue Collar Working Group, SED 2026, Asset Pricing Working Group
A Risk Factor Model Analysis for Commercial Real EstateDraft Coming Soon
Liew Fama-Miller Fellowship for Best Second-Year Paper
This study investigates how risks in other financial markets
affect returns in CRE. I introduce a new approach that blends
traditional analysis with a technique to adjust for price delays
caused by slow market activity. The research finds that factors
related to bonds are better predictors of CRE returns than those
related to stocks. This suggests that CRE might protect against
certain financial risks. The study also shows that CRE returns
are influenced by economic cycles and credit availability.
Interestingly, CREs with higher exposure to risks in the
financial sector tend to have lower returns, indicating that CRE
may help reduce certain financial system risks.